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    Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point Going Into Debate — IBD/TIPP Poll


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    Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point Going Into Debate — IBD/TIPP Poll

    Post  sinister_midget on Wed Oct 19, 2016 9:46 pm

    Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point Going Into Debate — IBD/TIPP Poll

    After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by a 1.3 percentage point margin — 41.3% to 40% — in a four-way matchup, according to the new IBD/TIPP poll released today.

    Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson got 7.6% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 5.5%. The results are the first in the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Daily updates start Thursday and will continue until the election.

    As always, don't get too excited. 1/3% is tiny. But it comes after he's been pounded solid for a long time by the left. However, it's still a poll, and the same advice applies.

    But this might bring some hope:

    Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race

    I'm not too concerned about worst. Or anything near the bottom. But who was best?

    Among the more prolific polling firms, the most accurate by this measure was TIPP, which conducted a national tracking poll for Investors’ Business Daily. Relative to other national polls, their results seemed to be Democratic-leaning at the time they were published. However, it turned out that most polling firms underestimated Mr. Obama’s performance, so those that had what had seemed to be Democratic-leaning results were often closest to the final outcome.

    The polls by IBD were Democrat-leaning because that's what the electorate said. It's not like they wanted it to be that way and that's how it turned out. IBD is far more likely to want Republican-leaning if they're going to express a wish.

    So maybe there's a light shining down at the end of that tunnel there.

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