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    Don’t count out Donald Trump just yet

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    sinister_midget
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    Don’t count out Donald Trump just yet

    Post  sinister_midget on Sun Sep 25, 2016 4:18 am

    Don’t count out Donald Trump just yet

    At a recent New York event, a Democratic business titan grabbed me by the shoulder and asked what I thought. I started to say that Donald Trump has the momentum, but he squeezed my shoulder tighter and cut me off.


    “He’s going to be president,” my friend said with conviction.


    A similar thing had happened the night before, with a conservative friend, who has not been a Trump supporter, declaring, “Trump is going to win.”


    I’m not convinced, but there is no denying that, as the first debate approaches, big change is unfolding before our eyes. The combination of Trump’s rise in the polls and Hillary Clinton’s decline, politically and physically, is so pronounced that it is reshaping voters’ expectations of the outcome.


    Nate Silver, the statistical guru who runs the FiveThirtyEight blog, now gives Trump a 42 percent chance of winning and is sounding the alarm to complacent Democrats. “Never seen otherwise-smart people in so much denial about something as they are about Trump’s chances,” he tweeted. “Same mistake as primaries, Brexit.”


    The new dynamics are rippling through the left-wing media, too. Clinton’s poor performance is leading to suddenly critical pieces of her, and the daily barrage against Trump has lost some of its zealotry. It could be fatigue, or demoralization that their campaign to bring him down is failing.
    Charles Lane, a Washington Post opinion writer, attempted to explain the landscape. Under the headline “Why the media blitz on Trump isn’t working,” Lane wondered why “so many Americans support Trump despite months and months of negative, truthful coverage about him?”


    Reflecting his bias — that the media should be trusted and Trump never — Lane answered his own question by likening Trump’s support to jury nullification. Noting that some juries acquit clearly guilty defendants to send a message about something they consider more important, such as the criminal-justice system, Lane sees Trump supporters using their votes as a mistaken protest against the political system.


    He has a point, but misses an even larger one. Lane’s logic fails because he is implicitly sneering at Trump backers in ways that echo Clinton’s “basket of deplorables” slur, and reflects the same basic assumption. To wit, a vote for Clinton is the only rational choice and anybody who doesn’t agree isn’t thinking straight.


    This is pretty much always how the left sees and talks about the rest of America. Ostensibly open and inclusive, many liberals are in fact parochial, closed-minded and bigoted. They don’t understand or have any respect for those who view the world differently.


    Trump’s backers also are demeaned in ways that suggest racial and class bias. White, affluent liberals are contemptuous of his working-class supporters, as if only poor nonwhites can have legitimate grievances.


    The numbers show how ignorant their assumptions are. Translating Trump’s polls into votes, his support of 40 percent or more would mean about 50 million votes. Those 50 million Americans, citizens of all kinds and living all across this huge country, are telling us something about themselves, their worries and their dreams, but are being dismissed as ignorant and irrational bigots.


    Is self-interest only valid for media-approved groups? Are individual liberty and democracy still respected?


    Of course they are — as long as you vote as you are told. Liberals are smarter and better, so they will pick your president. Now shut up.


    This is the crux of the left’s insufferable air of superiority and it is driving Trump’s supporters into his arms. A fair, sober dissection of Trump’s many flaws might have hurt him, but Big Media’s hysterical designation of him as Public Enemy No. 1 is helping him.


    Some of his support is not coming despite media attacks, but because of them. The more the establishment tries to crush him, the stronger he grows.


    The same phenomenon helps explain why Trump’s primary voters dumped Jeb Bush and other milquetoast Republicans. It is also why his core supporters reject Clinton, seeing her experience as proof that she would continue to tilt the political and economic systems against them.


    Trump’s voters found a candidate they believe speaks for them and their vision of America, and they will not be intimidated by an establishment they don’t like and a media they don’t trust.


    The blinkered elite can call it whatever they want — grievance, nullification, deplorable. But it is democracy, where all voters matter, and thank God it still lives in America.




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    How Hillary Clinton plans to 'get under Donald Trump's skin' in Monday night's presidential debate

    Post  sinister_midget on Sun Sep 25, 2016 4:28 am

    How Hillary Clinton plans to 'get under Donald Trump's skin' in Monday night's presidential debate

    Hillary Clinton plans to "get under Donald Trump's skin" and provoke him into losing his temper in front of 100 million people at the first US presidential debate, but experts warned the strategy could backfire if she descends to her opponent's level.


    Rather than focusing on policy Mrs Clinton's campaign has decided to turn the epic showdown on Monday night into a referendum on Mr Trump's temperament and character, hoping to goad him into an outburst that will make him look "unhinged," her allies said.


    Any wild reaction by the Republican nominee, who has a history of responding explosively to perceived slights, would be used by Democrats to show he is too volatile to be put in charge of America's nuclear arsenal.


    As details of Mrs Clinton's strategy leaked Mr Trump vowed he would not take the bait, and would "stay cool" during the clash at New York's Hofstra University.


    Newt Gingrich, the former Republican House Speaker who is helping Mr Trump prepare for the debate, said: "He cannot let Hillary get under his skin."


    Mrs Clinton's plan includes trying to rile Mr Trump with taunts that he is not worth as much money as he claims, and that he is a liar, xenophobe, and sexist bully.


    But experts said such personal gibes were high risk and could see the debate descend into a mud-slinging match which Mrs Clinton would inevitably lose.


    If Trump can stay cool and calm, she'll make herself go insane trying to get his goat.

    I predict if he does stay above it that she'll collapse and need the epipen because of internal hysteria that she's blowing it and can't stop herself. Or maybe the handler will have to come out and remind her to stay calm and breathe deep a few times. (She might try to get around the need for that by putting a piece in her ear so he can talk to her. That might work unless it takes a physical presence to reorient her, not just a voice.)







      Current date/time is Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:09 pm